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BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.Two States in the United States sued Glock, a gun manufacturer, for ignoring the design flaw that "pistols can easily become machine guns". On the 12th, the prosecutors in New Jersey and Minnesota respectively sued Glock, an Austrian weapons manufacturer, accusing the pistol manufactured by them of design defects and being easily converted into illegal machine guns. According to the complaint, Glock knew this situation for a long time, and continued to sell this pistol to the United States and profit from it, which promoted the proliferation of gun violence in the United States. (Xinhua News Agency)Peng Qinghua met with Babacov, Vice Chairman of Russian State Duma, and Peng Qinghua, Vice Chairman of the National People's Congress Standing Committee (NPCSC), met with Babacov, Vice Chairman of Russian State Duma, in Beijing on the 13th. The two sides indicated that they will jointly implement the important consensus reached by the two heads of state, make good use of the platform of the joint working group of the Sino-Russian Parliamentary Cooperation Committee, deepen exchanges and cooperation between legislative bodies, and promote the further development of China-Russia comprehensive strategic partnership of cooperation in the new era. (Xinhua News Agency)

South Korean prosecutors arrested Li Zhenyu, commander of the Capital Defense Command. On December 13, local time, South Korean prosecutors urgently arrested Li Zhenyu, commander of the Capital Defense Command. (CCTV News)Expert comment: Grasp the core essence of "stabilizing the property market" and explain in detail the main starting points of real estate in the new stage. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Yan Yuejin, vice president of Shanghai Yiju Real Estate Research Institute, believes that "stabilizing the property market" should have a systematic and complete working path, including stabilizing housing consumption, stabilizing enterprise investment, promoting stock digestion, etc., and ultimately creating more power for the release of domestic demand. (Xinhua News Agency)Apple is about to switch to self-developed Bluetooth and Wi-Fi chips for iPhone and smart home. Apple plans to switch to domestic chips for Bluetooth and Wi-Fi connection on its devices from next year, which will gradually phase out some components currently provided by Broadcom. This chip, code-named Proxima, has been developed for several years and is now planned to be used in the first batch of iPhone and smart home devices produced in 2025. The internal chips of iPhone manufacturers will be produced by TSMC.

Daiwa Securities SMBC Co., Ltd. downgraded Xinao Energy to Hold with a target price of HK$ 56.New york street folk "wanted order" aggravates business panic. In addition to the killed CEO, there are also financial executives. new york police are investigating the so-called "wanted order" posted on the streets of Manhattan aimed at business executives. On these "wanted orders", in addition to Brian Thompson, a senior figure of insurance giant UnitedHealth Group Inc, who was shot dead in the street last Wednesday, there are also portraits of senior executives of financial enterprises. Thompson's photo was marked with a red cross. This is the latest in a series of events that caused anxiety among business leaders after Thompson was shot. A spokesman for the new york Police Department said that in addition to these notices, there has been a surge in online threats against corporate executives. Luigi Mangione, a 26-year-old man accused of Thompson's murder, was arrested with a declaration condemning the profiteering of the medical industry, saying that "these parasites are purely asking for it". According to a law enforcement agency document, new york police said that they were on high alert for "the risk that extremists of all colors may regard Mangione as a martyr and follow an example". "These arguments may indicate that the threats faced by executives will intensify in the short term," the document said.Boosting consumption will be the top priority of economic work. Among the nine key tasks of economic work next year, "vigorously boosting consumption, improving investment efficiency and expanding domestic demand in all directions" ranks first. Among them, "consumption" has been placed in a more important position. The Central Economic Work Conference pointed out that it is necessary to grasp key links to complete the key tasks of economic work next year, and focus on boosting domestic demand, especially consumer demand. Zhao Bo, an associate professor of economics in the National Development Research Institute of Peking University, pointed out that since the Third Plenary Session of the Eleventh Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, the proportion of China's household consumption in GDP has experienced a short-term rise and a continuous decline, and rebounded around 2009, and it is currently maintained at around 40%. Zhou Qingjie, a professor at the School of Economics of Beijing Technology and Business University, said in the article "Paying attention to the key role of household consumption in expanding domestic demand" that according to the internationally accepted national economic accounting system, household consumption is one of the "four pillars" in GDP, alongside domestic private total investment, government purchase, public investment and net export. From the international comparison, the proportion of Chinese residents' consumption in GDP is at a relatively low level. Therefore, in the process of building a new development pattern in China, the effective practice of expanding domestic demand strategy depends more on the "internal" efforts of residents' departments, so that residents can spend money, rest assured and freely. (Securities Times)